What Could Be the Outcome of the Iran-Israel War?

The Iran-Israel conflict that began on June 13 is intensifying and heading toward several dangerous scenarios. Both sides have already suffered significant damage, though Iran has incurred far greater losses.

The final outcome of the war largely depends on whether the United States becomes directly involved. There is a possibility—though limited—that the U.S. may intervene militarily. In previous Arab-Israeli wars (1948, 1956, 1967, and 1973), Israel ultimately emerged victorious—mainly due to strong American support. This time could be no different.

According to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the objective of this war is to eliminate Iran’s nuclear capability. To achieve that goal, Israel will make every effort to gain U.S. aerial and logistical support.

A full-scale regional war or a regime change in Iran is unlikely. The war is expected to continue for some time, during which Iran’s nuclear facilities, buildings in Tehran, and other infrastructures could face heavy destruction. Israel, too, will suffer considerable damage.

Ultimately, rather than turning into a full-blown war, the conflict will likely end as a “limited engagement”, followed by a ceasefire through negotiation, though not before widespread destruction on both sides.

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